2018-19 NHL Season

Calder Watch 2019

Steve Kournianos  |  02/12/2019 |  Nashville  |  

How it works

CalderWatch is a points system designed to reward rookies who make the most out of their usage on an individual basis. While shot generation and shot suppression relative to teammates is a useful tool to help measure a player’s contributions beyond traditional stats, I believe raw production, specifically at even strength and what the scoreboard looks like when points are being produced, is a better way sort out the Calder Trophy contenders from the pretenders.

With CalderWatch, rookies are rewarded for individual achievement in categories like primary point production, scoring chances, clutch play and usage. The purpose is to try and identify the rookies whose points and shot attempts have a greater impact on the outcome of a game. For example, a goal scored or set up by a rookie that makes the score 1-0 is far more valuable than a goal scored at 4-1; or a scoring chance from the low slot has a greater chance of going in than a wrist shot flung from 80 feet away. Conversely, a secondary assist on a power-play goal recorded by a defenseman who started 80% of his shifts in the offensive zone is not as impressive as a primary assist at even strength by a forward whose majority of shifts began on his side of center ice.

So you ask, why are several players with more goals and assists ranked lower than players with less? To answer this question, one must consider several factors, such as the timelines of their points, where are their shots being taken from, and are there rookies earning their points against tilted ice. Chances are, you will find answers to all these questions by looking at the nightly CalderWatch point totals. The higher the CalderWatch points, the more involved that player was in his team’s quality point and quality shot production.

Rookie Leaders (Through games of 11 FEB 2019)

RANK NAME POS TM GP CW Total CWP/G G A PTS
1 E. Pettersson C VAN 47 447 9.51 25 26 51
2 A. Svechnikov RW CAR 56 391 6.98 14 12 26
3 C. White C OTT 49 377 7.69 11 17 28
4 B. Tkachuk LW OTT 43 360 8.37 12 13 25
5 A. Cirelli C TB 56 333 5.95 10 11 21
6 D. Kahun C CHI 56 327.5 5.85 11 16 27
7 M. Heiskanen D DAL 55 323 5.87 10 14 24
8 J. Kotkaniemi C MTL 56 321 5.73 10 17 27
9 F. Chytil C NYR 54 320 5.93 10 9 19
10 A. Johnsson LW TOR 49 309 6.31 14 15 29
11 O. Lindblom LW PHI 55 297 5.40 8 10 18
12 M. Joseph RW TB 48 288 6.00 13 7 20
13 J. Greenway W/C MIN 55 271 4.93 9 8 17
14 R. Dahlin D BUF 55 265 4.82 6 25 31
15 W. Foegele LW CAR 56 231 4.13 6 4 10
16 C. Mittelstadt C/W BUF 55 227 4.13 8 11 19
17 B. Howden C NYR 48 222 4.63 4 11 15
18 M. Rasmussen C DET 44 202 4.59 7 8 15
19 R. Thomas C STL 42 190 4.52 5 12 17
20 M. Pettersson D PIT 58 189 3.26 1 15 16
21 C. Garland RW ARI 28 179 6.39 11 3 14
22 M. Lajoie D OTT 50 177 3.54 7 7 14
23 D. Cholowski D DET 52 171 3.29 7 9 16
24 Z.A. Reese C/W PIT 30 169 5.63 6 5 11
25 A. Wagner RW LAK 40 166 4.15 7 5 12
26 Ki. Sherwood RW ANA 46 164.5 3.58 5 5 10
27 T. Boyd C WAS 34 162 4.76 4 11 15
28 R. Donato RW BOS 34 161 4.74 6 3 9
29 H. Jokiharju D CHI 37 144 3.89 0 12 12
30 M. Luff LW LAK 30 141 4.70 7 3 10
31 B. Seney C NJD 44 139 3.16 5 6 11
32 A. Suomela C SJS 27 138 5.11 3 5 8
33 B. Lemieux RW WPG 40 134 3.35 9 2 11
34 Erik Cernak D TB 34 131 3.85 2 7 9
35 F. Hronek D DET 23 125 5.43 3 7 10
36 R. Hintz LW DAL 31 123 3.97 3 4 7
37 S. Dries LW COL 34 120 3.53 3 3 6
38 L. Kunin C MIN 25 116 4.64 2 8 10
39 A. Fortin LW CHI 24 112 4.67 3 3 6
40 A. Gaudette C VAN 32 105 3.28 3 4 7
41 J. F. Karlsson C BOS 28 104 3.71 3 6 9
42 J. Lammikko RW FLA 40 103 2.58 0 6 6
43 R. Andersson D CGY 52 102 1.96 1 6 7
44 M. Appleton C WPG 29 102 3.52 3 5 8
45 H. Borgstrom C FLA 23 100 4.35 5 3 8
46 I. Ozhiganov D TOR 42 99 2.36 3 4 7
47 J.S. Dea C PIT 23 98 4.26 4 2 6
48 N. Seeler D MIN 53 88 1.66 1 3 4
49 Colby Cave C EDM 26 86 3.31 1 4 5
50 S. Maenalanen RW CAR 19 85 4.47 4 3 7
51 D. Toews D NYI 21 85 4.05 4 2 6
52 C. Ehn C DET 39 83 2.13 2 3 5
53 J. Riikola D PIT 34 80 2.35 2 2 4
54 M. Dal Colle LW NYI 19 76 4.00 2 2 4
55 V. Zykov LW VGK 24 74 3.08 1 3 4
56 D. Batherson C OTT 17 73 4.29 3 5 8
57 G. Bayreuther D DAL 19 71 3.74 2 3 5
58 C. Jaros D OTT 40 71 1.78 1 4 5
59 O. Kylington D CGY 29 69 2.38 3 3 6
60 S.Walker D LAK 21 67 3.19 1 3 4
61 M. Comtois LW ANA 10 66 6.60 2 5 7
62 T. Hyka RW VGK 17 66 3.88 1 3 4
63 D. Dube C CGY 23 66 2.87 1 4 5
64 C. Dahlstrom D CHI 22 66 3.00 0 6 6
65 R. Simek D SJS 28 66 2.36 1 7 8
66 C. Jones D EDM 17 65 3.82 1 5 6
67 L. Andersson C NYR 21 63 3.00 1 3 4
68 V. Kamenev C COL 23 62 2.70 2 3 5
69 A. Mangiapane LW CGY 17 62 3.65 1 2 3
70 S. Blais LW STL 24 61 2.54 2 1 3
71 L. Pilut D BUF 21 61 2.90 1 5 6
72 J. Larssson D ANA 38 60 1.58 0 2 2
73 J. Hawryluk C FLA 19 60 3.16 3 2 5
74 D. Gurianov RW DAL 18 60 3.33 1 3 4
75 N. Juulsen D MTL 21 57 2.71 1 4 5
76 C. Bishop C CAR 20 56 2.80 1 2 3
77 J. Mahura D ANA 17 51 3.00 1 4 5
78 J. Siegenthaler D WAS 25 50 2.00 0 4 4
79 R. Balcers LW OTT 12 50 4.17 1 2 3
80 J. Kyrou RW STL 16 48 3.00 1 2 3
81 I. Lyubushkin D ARI 33 48 1.45 0 4 4
82 M. MacEachern LW STL 11 48 4.36 2 1 3
83 J. Valimaki D CGY 22 47 2.14 1 1 2
84 S. Steel C ANA 13 46 3.54 1 2 3
85 D. Sikura RW CHI 11 45 4.09 0 3 3
86 K. Rooney C NJD 16 45 2.81 2 1 3
87 A. Formenton LW OTT 10 44 4.40 1 1 2
88 A. Welinski D ANA 19 44 2.32 0 2 2
89 K. Yamamoto RW EDM 17 43 2.53 1 1 2
90 D. Hunt LW FLA 13 42 3.23 0 1 1
91 C. Wolanin D OTT 12 42 3.50 3 2 5
92 V. Lettieri RW NYR 18 41 2.28 0 0 0
93 T. Blueger C PIT 6 41 6.83 2 1 3
94 C.J. Smith LW BUF 6 37 6.17 2 0 2
95 R. Chartier C SJS 13 36 2.77 1 0 1
96 I. Lundestrom C ANA 15 34 2.27 0 2 2
97 J. Anderson RW NJD 12 34 2.83 1 1 2
98 R. Graves D COL 11 33 3.00 2 0 2
99 R. Johnston LW NYI 13 31 2.38 0 3 3
100 T. Terry C ANA 10 31 3.10 1 1 2
101 D. Martel LW TB 6 29 4.83 0 1 1
102 M. Vorobyev C PHI 15 29 1.93 1 1 2
103 L. Johnson C CHI 15 27 1.80 0 1 1
104 T. Moore LW TOR 7 27 3.86 1 2 3
105 J. Quenneville W/C NJD 15 25 1.67 0 0 0
106 E. Bouchard D EDM 7 23 3.29 1 0 1
107 M. Necas C CAR 7 21 3.00 1 1 2
108 K. Kossila C ANA 8 19 0.00 1 0 1
109 J. Lauzon D BOS 15 19 1.27 1 0 1
110 T. Lewington D WSH 2 18 9.00 1 1 2
111 D. Heatherington D DAL 5 17 3.40 0 1 1
112 S. Niku D WPG 11 17 1.55 0 2 2
113 M. Bunting RW ARI 4 16 4.00 1 0 1
114 L. Sulak D DET 6 14 2.33 0 0 0
115 E. Tolvanen RW NSH 4 14 3.50 1 1 2
116 C. Marody C EDM 6 13 2.17 0 0 0
117 P. Russell RW EDM 6 12 2.00 0 0 0
118 J.A. Dolan C LAK 5 12 2.40 0 1 1
119 S. Fogarty C NYR 10 12 1.20 0 0 0
120 J. Kuokkanen C CAR 7 12 1.71 0 0 0
121 C. Blackwell C NSH 6 12 2.00 0 0 0
122 B. Gleason D DAL 4 11 2.75 0 1 1
123 Z. McEwen C VAN 1 11 11.00 0 1 1
124 C. Clifton D BOS 9 10 1.11 0 0 0
125 J. MacDonald D FLA 2 10 5.00 1 0 1
126 N. Walker LW WAS 3 10 3.33 0 1 1
127 J. Hicketts D DET 8 9 1.13 0 0 0
128 K. Gabriel RW NJD 6 9 1.50 0 1 1
129 E. Robinson LW CBJ 3 8 2.67 0 0 0
130 D. Brickley D LAK 4 7 1.75 0 1 1
131 M. Jones LW ANA 4 7 1.75 0 0 0
132 T. Frederic C BOS 6 7 1.17 0 0 0
133 T. Goulbourne LW PHI 2 6 3.00 0 0 0
134 K. Vesalainen LW WPG 5 6 1.20 0 1 1
135 J. Rodewald RW OTT 6 6 1.00 0 0 0
136 K. Stenlund C CBJ 4 6 1.50 0 0 0
137 J. Megna D ANA 3 6 2.00 0 0 0
138 S. Rempal RW LAK 7 5 0.71 0 0 0
139 T. Gettinger LW NYR 4 5 1.25 0 0 0
140 N. Aube-Kubel W/C PHI 9 5 0.56 0 0 0
141 J. Brown D FLA 9 4 0.44 0 0 0
142 N. Roy C CAR 6 3 0.50 0 0 0
143 A. Greco RW FLA 1 3 3.00 0 0 0
144 J. Kloos C ANA 1 3 3.00 0 0 0
145 L. O’Connor RW COL 6 3 0.50 0 0 0
146 A.J. Greer LW COL 7 3 0.43 0 0 0
147 U. Vaakanainen D BOS 2 2 1.00 0 0 0
148 T. Carrick D CAR 1 2 2.00 0 0 0
149 R. Lomberg LW CGY 4 2 0.50 0 0 0
150 R. Lindgren D NYR 3 2 0.67 0 0 0
151 N. Nogier D WPG 1 1 1.00 0 0 0
152 B. Guhle D BUF 2 1 0.50 0 0 0
153 K. Capobianco D ARI 2 1 0.50 0 0 0
154 D. Gambrell C SJS 5 1 0.20 0 0 0
155 D. Mermis D ARI 1 0 0.00 0 0 0
156 J. Zboril D BOS 2 0 0.00 0 0 0
157 J. Bean D CAR 2 0 0.00 0 0 0
158 G. Carlsson D CBJ 1 0 0.00 0 0 0
159 M. McLeod C NJD 1 0 0.00 0 0 0
160 A. Richard C NSH 1 0 0.00 0 0 0
161 J. Nilsson C CHI 2 0 0.00 0 0 0
162 J. Gambardella C EDM 4 0 0.00 0 0 0
163 J. Middleton D SJS 1 0 0.00 0 0 0
164 L. Belpedio D MIN 2 0 0.00 0 0 0